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Patterns, opportunities, and the truth in Miami real estate.
With a little fun mixed in.

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    Reports & Analysis

    Miami Dade Real Estate: March 2025 Update

    Thank you Peter Santanello for shooting an episode with me:Inside Wealthy Miami – Why Are So Many Americans Moving Here?

    Thank you Wall Street Journal for using my data and quoting me in this excellent article: Million-Dollar Homes Skyrocket in Miami, as Starter Properties Go Extinct.

    Miami Dade Real Estate: January 2025 Update

    January has closed out in Miami. How are the markets behaving so far in 2025?

    The tail of two markets continues to play out.

    -> sales volume of both SFH & Condos past $2K / square foot are up year-over-year, clocking in record transaction volume for the month of January. In Jan 2019, there were ZERO SFH sales past $2K / sq ft. Things can change quickly. New product at prime locations (especially end user product) is likely in under supply.

    -> the extinction of SFH below $500K continues.

    Active listings (inventory) in Miami Dade < $500K in January 2025: 640. Active listings (inventory) in Miami Dade <$500K in January 2019: 4,452 We are down 86% vs. pre Covid in 2019. This is the extinction of a price point.

    Just released: Miami Dade 2024 annual report & 2025 forecast!

    Just released!
    My 2024 annual Miami Dade real estate report is now live!
    Uncover Miami’s hottest real estate trends & opportunities.

    Highlights:

    –> New product at prime locations continues to shine: we actually don’t have enough.
    Both condo and SFH transaction volume was up YOY past $1K / sq ft.
    SFH past $1K /sq ft hit an all time high and is up a remarkable 631% vs. 2019 (pre Covid)

    –> Despite fake, alarmist press headlines: Miami Dade overall inventory levels remain below 2019 (pre Covid) levels

    –> Speaking of inventory levels, this is truly shocking: Miami Dade SFH active listings below $500K are down 800% vs. 2019 pre covid.

    There are now only about 600 active SFH listings sub $500K in all of Miami Dade County.

    Pre Covid in 2019, there were over 3,500.

    I think the implications of this are obvious. And far reaching.

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