Miami Real Estate Market Analysis

Just Released: Analytics Miami 2025 Q4 Report & Forecast Themes of the week:  Wealth Migration • 2025 Q4 Report & Forecast • New Interviews  Wealth migration is the theme of the week, and will be the theme of the century. Global HNWI relocations reached record levels in 2025 and still increasing into 2026. Within the United States, a clear trend persists: high value tax payers are relocating and our feeder jurisdictions are predictably increasing their hostilities to capital. The net effects of California billionaire tax are obvious. Recall that Bezos moved to Miami when his home state proposed a wealth tax. He would have accounted for 45% of the theoretical revenue. Today I read that the Netherlands is likely to start taxing unrealized capital gains at 35%. One starts to wonder what these regimes may start doing to curtain inevitable exoduses.  Wealth mobility is real. Miami's emergence as a destination for wealth is evident in the year-end and Q4 numbers.

Themes of the week: UBS “Bubble” Report • Rock The Market Highlights • Special Invitations. Thank you to the South Florida Business Journal for quoting me on this topic. The UBS "Bubble" report is a travesty and they should be embarrassed. This report a sensationalist misuse of a global platform, and its misleading headline is being echoed by press worldwide. * An invitation: Join me, I am speaking at the Real Deal Conference. 📍 Mana Wynwood |  November 5 & 6 I am speaking on Nov 6 in a first-ever, special debate style panel with Daniel Kodsi. https://events.therealdeal.com/event/how-to-survive-the-squeeze * An invitation: Join me for my super fight at Main Character Jiu Jitsu 📍 La Scala De Miami Brickell | October 19 Tickets here, please select me at checkout:  https://nitrotickets.com/event/1064/MCJJ-1HALLOWEEN-1HAVOC-1--11019

The Federal Reserve just cut rates by 25 basis points, with Powell signaling that two more rate cuts are possible by the end of the year. What does this mean for Miami real estate? The net effect of this will be an increase of monetary flow into the market. Meaning: more money and participants will enter the Miami market. Watch Ana Bozovic's Fox News segments where she touches upon the future of Miami real estate and what is driving the flow of money to the region.

I hope you enjoy the release of my Q2 2025 Miami Dade Real Estate Report. This post also includes video segments of Ana Bozovic's Inman Connect 2025 talk at New World Symphony in Miami Beach. The segments will help to contextualize and bring to life the Q2 2025 market report.

Thank you Peter Santanello for shooting an episode with me:Inside Wealthy Miami – Why Are So Many Americans Moving Here? Thank you Wall Street Journal for using my data and quoting me in this excellent article: Million-Dollar Homes Skyrocket in Miami, as Starter Properties Go Extinct.

Thank you Peter Santanello for shooting an episode with me:Inside Wealthy Miami – Why Are So Many Americans Moving Here? Thank you Wall Street Journal for using my data and quoting me in this excellent article: Million-Dollar Homes Skyrocket in Miami, as Starter Properties Go Extinct.

January has closed out in Miami. How are the markets behaving so far in 2025? The tail of two markets continues to play out. -> sales volume of both SFH & Condos past $2K / square foot are up year-over-year, clocking in record transaction volume for the month of January. In Jan 2019, there were ZERO SFH sales past $2K / sq ft. Things can change quickly. New product at prime locations (especially end user product) is likely in under supply. -> the extinction of SFH below $500K continues. Active listings (inventory) in Miami Dade < $500K in January 2025: 640. Active listings (inventory) in Miami Dade <$500K in January 2019: 4,452 We are down 86% vs. pre Covid in 2019. This is the extinction of a price point.

Just released! My 2024 annual Miami Dade real estate report is now live! Uncover Miami's hottest real estate trends & opportunities. Highlights: --> New product at prime locations continues to shine: we actually don’t have enough. Both condo and SFH transaction volume was up YOY past $1K / sq ft. SFH past $1K /sq ft hit an all time high and is up a remarkable 631% vs. 2019 (pre Covid) --> Despite fake, alarmist press headlines: Miami Dade overall inventory levels remain below 2019 (pre Covid) levels --> Speaking of inventory levels, this is truly shocking: Miami Dade SFH active listings below $500K are down 800% vs. 2019 pre covid. There are now only about 600 active SFH listings sub $500K in all of Miami Dade County. Pre Covid in 2019, there were over 3,500. I think the implications of this are obvious. And far reaching.

Hot off the presses! Miami Dade SFH 2024 report preview. Full 2024 year end report and 2025 forecast coming next week. Median price at all time highs, inventory 36% below pre covid (2019). This should provide plenty of ammo to retort the negative, click bait generated by legacy media. Annual data is simple to understand and the truth is clear.

I made the table after downloading and processing newly released 2023 interstate census data. Source: https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2024/state-to-state-migration-flows.html The pattern is very clear. High tax, blue states are losing population due to interstate migration. And as I keep saying, I do not see this reversing. I do not see a sudden net flow into high tax states. The political leanings of the state seem to be correlated to the tax levels. My study was picked up twice by the Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14055047/US-map-fastest-growing-states-census-population.html https://www.dailymail.co.uk/yourmoney/article-14198061/florida-arizona-cities-baby-boomers-travel-packs.html The pattern is very clear. As the country reshapes around 21st century realities and shift in economic focus continues, high tax states are clearly losing population.

Legacy media has dug its own grave. Completely false headline again, accompanied by a very poorly written story. The arrogance with which legacy media lies and creates poorly written, politically motivated hit pieces is breath taking. And this is my second time refuting a Newsweek article. I had previously debunked a Newsweek article in July, 2024.

Trump won the election, what does that mean for South Florida & Miami real estate? Journalist Brian Bandel asked me that question the day after the election. And this is what I told the South Florida Business Journal: “Given the team that he has assembled, most notably Elon Musk, I believe that a Trump presidency will be aligned with entrepreneurs and creators,” Bozovic said. “Since South Florida is attracting tax payers and creators, our housing market will be further super charged by an administration that fosters entrepreneurship.” And I stand by every word of that. Furthermore, I feel that a subconscious pause has been lifted in the aftermath of the election. The next wave forward is about to commence. And note: I am compiling October numbers. As per my thesis, the SFH market continues to hit all time highs. End user product within proximity of the urban core is a strong play.