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AnalyticsMiami Supply and Demand: Miami area condo market through Q3 2019
Supply and Demand Disconnect
Inventory has steadily risen across market segments, all while transaction volume has dropped off. Higher price points are the worst offenders. The Miami $1M+ market saw a 147% increase in supply since 2013, while sales dropped 32% in the same period.
Transaction volume below 2010
Miami Beach and Miami condo transaction volume remains below the post-recession numbers we saw in 2010. For most market segments transaction volume peaked in 2013, and has since been dropping. Recent changes to SALT deductions have not offset the volume decline.
AnalyticsMiami Special Report: Miami Condo Inventory, start of 2018This report charts months of Miami condo inventory, going back to 2007. The charts show that the Miami condo market is at all-time high levels of inventory. Some prices points have almost twice as many months of inventory as during the last downturn.
AnalyticsMiami Long term trends, Miami-Dade condo report 2017This report shows all key Miami condo market metrics, charted back to 2006. The data indicates that we are at various extremes in the condo market cycle. Also indicated is a clear bifurcation between locally supported and outside money dependent price segments.
AnalyticsMiami Special Report: Miami Beach condo market through Q2 2018Q2 2018 saw a record number of $3M+ condo transactions in Miami Beach. After years of declining sales volume, sellers are starting to meet buyers. The oceanfront luxury condo market is starting to clear at 2013 prices, and high profile hedge fund managers are leading the way.
AnalyticsMiami City of Miami Beach, The Missing Middle Report, February 2018In February 2018, Ana Bozovic gave a presentation the city of Miami Beach's land use committee. The presentation is entitled "The Missing Middle." It charts long term trends in Miami Beach's population and housing stock. The results are clear: Miami Beach has added virtually no new housing stock for middle class residents and has a housing market increasingly dependent on outside money.
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