Just Released: Analytics Miami 2025 Q4 Report & Forecast Themes of the week: Wealth Migration • 2025 Q4 Report & Forecast • New Interviews Wealth migration is the theme of the week, and will be the theme of the century. Global HNWI relocations reached record levels in 2025 and still increasing into 2026. Within the United States, a clear trend persists: high value tax payers are relocating and our feeder jurisdictions are predictably increasing their hostilities to capital. The net effects of California billionaire tax are obvious. Recall that Bezos moved to Miami when his home state proposed a wealth tax. He would have accounted for 45% of the theoretical revenue. Today I read that the Netherlands is likely to start taxing unrealized capital gains at 35%. One starts to wonder what these regimes may start doing to curtain inevitable exoduses. Wealth mobility is real. Miami's emergence as a destination for wealth is evident in the year-end and Q4 numbers.
The Wealth & Talent Migration Continues, We See The Effects In The Miami SFH Market
Download my full Q2 2024 Miami Real Estate Report
I am speaking at the same time day as this blog post: July 25, 2024. I will be speaking at the annual Rock The Market conference at the Hard Rock Hotel. We had well over 2,000 people attend last year, and this year is sold out again.
To see past events & to book me for speaking, go here >
My topic at Rock The Market: #LongMiami & Early Times, Is There Still Room For Growth?
Short answer: the wealth migration has just begun and corroborative data keeps coming.
As I keep saying: momentum cycles are real and they build. There is no going backwards.
In the associated press this week:
"Florida’s population passes 23 million for the first time due to residents moving from other states" And it is tax payers on the move, flowing out of high tax jurisdictions that were also high lockdown.
While states like NY and CA are losing taxpayers, CNBC just ranked Florida as #1, for best economy in the nation. We added 240,000 jobs last year, we lead the nation in net migration and in new business formation (grew 9% last year!!). People are moving to the sunshine state to create.
Entrepreneurship flows towards the path of least resistance.
Where do we see the effects of this migration in our real estate market and how do we align with it in order to benefit?
-> Recognize that the wealth & talent migration wants new product at prime locations: take advantage of future scarcity
-> Recognize the extreme shortage at lower ends, especially SFH. And recognize that this inventory, especially at prime locations, will not be replaced.
Below is one of my favorite illustrations of the effects of the wealth & talent migration. Sales volume of single family homes in Miami Dade over $2K/ square foot is up 1,050% versus 2019 (pre covid).
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